Economic Calendar for week 17th - 21st December 2007

All times GMT

Monday Dec17th:

UK - 00:01 - Rightmove House Price Index M/M.
EU - 09:00 - Manufacturing PMI.
EU - 09:00 - Services PMI.
US - 13:30 - Empire State Business Conditions Index.
US - 13:30 - Current Account.
US - 14:00 - TIC Net Long-Term Transactions.
UK - 15:00 - Fed Governors Hold Open Meeting.
UK - 18:00 - NAHB Housing Market Index.

Tuesday Dec 18th:

UK - 09:30 - CPI & Core CPI Y/Y.
UK - 09:30 - RPI Y/Y.
EU - 10:00 - Trade Balance.
UK - 10:45 - BOE Governor King Speaks.
US - 13:30 - Housing Starts.
US - 13:30 - Building Permits.

Wednesday Dec 19th:

GE - 07:00 - PPI M/M.
GE - 09:00 - ifo Business Climate Index & Business Expectations Index.
EU - 09:00 - ECB President Trichet Speaks.
UK - 09:30 - MPC Meeting Minutes.
UK - 09:30 - Business Investment Q/Q.
UK - 11:00 - CBI Distributive Trades Realised
US - 15:30 - Crude Oil Inventories

Thursday Dec 20th:

GE - 07:00 - Consumer Confidence.
UK - 09:30 - GDP Q/Q.
UK - 09:30 - Current Account.
UK - 09:30 - M4 Money Supply M/M.
UK - 09:30 - Public Sector Net Borrowing.
UK - 09:30 - BSA Mortgage Approvals.
US - 13:30 - GDP Annualised & GDP Annualised Deflator Q/Q.
US - 13:30 - Unemployment Claims.
US - 15:00 - Leading Index M/M.
US - 17:00 - Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index.

Friday Dec 21st:

GE - 07:00 - Import Price Index M/M.
FR - 07:50 - Consumer Spending M/M.
EU - 09:00 - Current Account.
UK - 09:30 - Retail Sales M/M.
UK - 09:30 - Index of Services Q/Q.
EU - 10:00 - Industrial New Orders M/M.
US - 13:30 - Core PCE Price Index M/M.
US - 13:30 - Personal Spending M/M.
US - 13:30 - Personal Income M/M.
US - 15:00 - Consumer Sentiment.

EU - Europe wide
FR - France
UK - United Kingdom
US - United States
GE - Germany

The week ahead.

To say that Wall Street has been paying close attention to the actions of the US Federal Reserve recently is an understatement to say the least. Last week was no different as the Dow Jones & Co reacted frantically to Fed attempts to stoke greater movement in moribund credit markets.

Last weeks mixed economic readings came in a week already made busy by the Fed's decision on Tuesday to lower interest rates for the third time this year, and its part a day later in the coordinated global liquidity rescue plan. Investors have since been debating the effectiveness of such measures.

In one unwelcome development, prices of gasoline at wholesale level jumped 3.2 percent in November, the biggest increase in 34 years. But the news was not all bad last week. The Commerce Department said retail sales rose in November by the largest amount in six months, and a Labor Department report showed a drop in new claims filed by those seeking jobless benefits.

The modest movement came as investors further examined the Fed's agreement with the European Central Bank and the central banks of England, Canada and Switzerland, to combat what it described as elevated pressures in the credit markets.

The market's back and forth trading of the last couple of weeks, is likely to have kept some uneasy investors out of action, not likely to return until after the New Year.

Next week we have yet another look into the US housing market, which hasnt shown any hints of improving anytime soon. Maybe the new bailout plan, which will be freezing the mortgage rates for some of those exotic mortgages for the next 5 years, will help out some people, but its unlikely to be shown in next weeks readings.

Also next week is the final reading of the GDP and inflation. Both are potential market movers, as in the last few months rate cuts could have pushed up inflation, therefore hurting consumers and their take home pay.

For a trade this week it may be advantageous to look at a potential increase in volatility in the markets, due to the fact that most traders are going away for vacation, thus creating an overreaction for any major move.

An up or down bet on the S&P 500 with an 18 days to maturity, and 45 points away from the spot on either side, pays a potential 9% ROI. This means that the market has to move 45 points in either direction from Mondays open for you to win.

Arthur Smelyansky