Wednesday, March 26, 2008

Economic Calendar for week 26th - 28th March 2008

PLEASE NOTE - All times GMT

Wednesday Mar 26th:

EU - 09:00 - German Ifo Business Climate Index
EU -
09:00 - German Ifo Business Expectations Index
EU -
09:00 - Current Account
EU -
10:00 - Industrial New Orders M/M
US -
12:30 - Core Durable Goods Orders M/M
US - 12:30 - Durable Goods Orders M/M
US -
14:00 - New Home Sales
US -
14:30 - Crude Oil Inventories

Thursday Mar 27th:

EU - 07:00- German Consumer Confidence
UK -
09:30 - BBA Mortgage Approvals
UK -
09:30 - Business Investment q/q (r)
UK -
11:00 - CBI Distributive Trades Realized
US -
12:30 - Final GDP Annualized q/q
US -
12:30 - Final GDP Deflator Annualized q/q
US -
12:30 - Unemployment Claims

Friday Mar 28th:

UK - 09:30 - Current Account
UK -
09:30 - GDP q/q (r)
US - 12:30 - Core PCE Price Index M/M
US -
12:30 - Personal Spending M/M
US -
12:30 - Personal Income M/M
US -
14:00 - Consumer Sentiment (r)

EU - Europe wide
FR -
France
UK -
United Kingdom
US -
United States
GE - Germany

The week ahead.

Just when you think a trend has been established, the market throws you a wrench and totally changes the whole picture. Before the markets even opened, the Bear Stearns saga hit its highest note, with JP Morgan offering $2 per share for Bear Stearns, and the latter accepting, mainly because the only other option was Bankruptcy.

On Tuesday after the much anticipated FOMC rate cut, the US dollar rallied on what analysts called a clearer picture from the Federal Reserve, and that they are almost at the end of the tightening cycle.

Commodities took it on the chin, most contracts losing more then 10% this week, with gold falling from the $1030 high it touched on Monday, to trade currently as low as $910 per troy ounce. They were not the only ones who took a big hit, currencies had their much anticipated correction, with the Euro falling more then 300 pips in a 48 hour period.

What was lost in all this sea of red was the fact that equities in North America actually had a week of positive results. The Dow Jones ended the week up almost 200 points, mainly on the help of a late Thursday upgrade of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac by an analyst. The late Thursday gains should translate into a higher open on the FTSE when it comes back from the Easter holiday.

Since there was not much economic data out last week, the market was prone to rumors. HBOS and Lehman Brothers both suffered on rumors that they were in a liquidity crunch, and are the next ones to fail. Both rumors were proven false, but not before both stocks fell more then 10%, with Lehman falling as much as 40% before correcting.

The strength of the US dollar wasn't because of a change in fundamentals. We are expecting for the correction to wane and as a result here is this week's play.

A no touch on the Euro/USD for 11 days, 536 basis points below the current spot, could pay ROI 8%

Arthur Smelyansky
Copyright from
BetOnMarkets

Tuesday, March 25, 2008

Luxury 3 Bedroom/ 2.5 Bath (H27) WALKING DISTANCE TO DOWNTOWN BARILOCHE!










This brand new, three bedroom home overlooks one of the most beautiful still undiscovered lakes in the world, Nahuel Huapi. Located less than a 15 minute walk from downtown Bariloche, this impressive home gives guests incredibly spacious living on 2 levels. The master bedroom has a king size bed with en-suite bathroom and jacuzzi. It also features a large living area with open fireplace, gourmet kitchen and modern amenities. Warm and inviting custom decor, with log cypress wood throughout, gives you a true Bariloche relaxation experience.









This generous house includes a whole host of delightful features, including:


Living Room #1

  • Open fireplace
  • 42" Plasma TV with satellite
  • Sofa
  • Coffee table
  • Magnificent lake view
  • CD/Stereo player
  • Large balcony

Bedroom #1

  • King bed with comfortable mattress
  • TV & DVD
  • Walk -in wardrobe
  • 2 side tables with reading lamps
  • En-suite bathroom with jacuzzi
  • Lake view

Bedrooms #2 & 3

  • 2 single beds
  • Wardrobe
  • Lake view

Kitchen

  • Refrigerator/Freezer
  • Microwave
  • Large oven
  • Fully equipped with dishes, silverware, juicer, blender, coffee maker, toaster, pots and pans, Tupperware and all cooking utensils.

Dining Room

  • Large table with 8 chairs
  • Incredible lake view
Other Features

  • Laundry with washing machine
  • Wi-Fi internet
  • Local phone line
  • Cell phone
  • Central heating
  • Close to downtown
  • Alarm

Check In: 3 PM

Check out: 11 am


Rates

Nightly U$S 350.00

Monday, March 24, 2008

Top 10 deeply discounted 2008 cars

If you're starting to sense desperation in the new car market, you're not entirely off the mark. Even the most optimistic sales forecasts expect 2008 new car deliveries to fall to a level not seen since the early 1990s.

The result for consumers is stepped-up programs of rebates, cut-rate financing and factory-to-dealer incentives designed to move the metal off dealer lots as the spring and summer buying season approaches.

More than 150 models now can be bought with some measure of low financing, rebates or dealer incentives. And this doesn't include the numerous low-payment lease offers that are cropping up.

But consumers who are considering those leases should be wary of big down payments and mileage allowances that can be a little as 10,000 miles a year. Many people who sign on for such deals wind up paying huge mileage penalties at the end of the lease.

Not surprisingly, it's the SUVs and pickup trucks that are seeing the deepest discounts, and the best bargains can be found at Chrysler, Ford and General Motors. However, some imports are also offering some attractive incentives.

Here are 10 vehicles that are among the most deeply discounted. These are among the models most likely to save a buyer thousands of dollars off the manufacturer's sticker price.

Top 10 new car discounts

Chrysler 300C. The full-sized sedan comes with either a $3,000 rebate or financing ranging from zero percent to 4.9 percent.
Dodge Ram 1500. Dodge's full-sized pickup truck carries either a $5,000 rebate or zero percent to 1.9 percent financing.
Ford Explorer. Once the most popular sport utility vehicle, the Explorer carries rebates from $3,000 to $4,000 and financing from 0.9 percent to 6.9 percent.
Mercury Grand Marquis. A large sedan that can carry six people and their luggage, it can be had with a rebate of $5,500 to $6,500 or financing of zero percent to 3.9 percent.
Cadillac DTS. The large sedan in the Cadillac lineup is not as quick a seller as the new, smaller CTS. So, GM is offering a $3,000 rebate or 5.9 percent to 7.9 percent financing.
GMC Envoy. This midsized SUV has been packed with a $3,000 rebate or 2.9 percent to 5.9 percent financing.
Nissan Pathfinder. Nissan, which is not enjoying the same sales success as some other Japanese manufacturers, is offering deals on this SUV that include rebates of $2,250 to $3,250 or 1.9 percent to 2.9 percent financing.
BMW 7 Series. While not offering direct-to-customer rebates on its luxury 7 Series sedan, BMW is giving dealers $3,500 to $5,000 in incentives. Such incentives should be a part of a buyer's price negotiations.
Land Rover LR2. Land Rover is offering a $3,000 incentive on this SUV.
Lexus RX 350. Lexus is being a little stingier than some other manufacturers when it comes to incentives, but is offering dealers as much as $2,000 on the RX 350.

If any of these vehicles meet your needs, check them out. But keep in mind that a car or truck that falls outside of your buying parameters is no bargain, no matter what it costs.

Rebates, financing and incentives may vary by region, although most are applicable nationwide.

JPMorgan Reportedly in Talks to Increase Bear Stearns Offer to $10 a Share

JPMorgan Chase & Co. was discussing a deal that would increase fivefold its offer for Bear Stearns Cos. to $10 a share, The New York Times reported Monday.

The talks Sunday were an attempt to satisfy Bear Stearns stockholders upset over JPMorgan's offer of $2 a share for the struggling investment bank, the newspaper said on its Web site, citing people involved in the negotiations.

The original price for Bear Stearns was part of a deal struck last week at the urging of the Federal Reserve and Treasury Department.

The Fed, which would need to approve any change in the agreement, was balking at the new price, the Times said. Such opposition could postpone the new agreement or derail it entirely.

In an attempt to speed majority shareholder approval, Bears board was trying to authorize the sale of 39.5 percent of the firm to JPMorgan, the Times said. State law in Delaware, where the companies are incorporated, allows a company to sell up to 40 percent without shareholder approval.

A spokeswoman for JPMorgan declined to comment Sunday night, the Times said. A Bear Stearns representative could not be reached.

A spokesman for the Federal Reserve would not comment on the central banks involvement in the negotiations, but denied it had directed the original sale price, the newspaper said.


Friday, March 21, 2008

Opinion(Aloha Airlines Files for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy; Blames 'Predatory Pricing' by Competitor )

Aloha Airlines filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection Thursday, a little more than two years after emerging from bankruptcy.

Aloha said it will continue to fly as long as a bankruptcy court accepts the airline's financial plan to keep operating.

Aloha Airgroup Inc. emerged from bankruptcy protection in February 2006, just 14 months after filing under Chapter 11.

Phoenix-based Mesa Air Group launched go! into the interisland market later in 2006 to compete with Aloha, as well as Hawaiian Airlines Inc.

In January, go! reported a $20 million operating loss in its first 16 months of operations. Meanwhile, Aloha and Hawaiian reported combined losses of nearly $65 million since go! began operating.

Aloha said it was forced to match go!'s below-cost fares at a time when the airline industry was facing unprecedented increases in the cost of jet fuel.

"It is a travesty and a tragedy that the illegal actions of a competitor and other factors completely beyond our control have forced us to take this action," said David A. Banmiller, Aloha's president and chief executive officer.

Mesa Air Group CEO Jonathan Ornstein declined comment, saying the company had not yet read the filing.

In October, a U.S. bankruptcy judge ordered Mesa to pay Hawaiian Airlines $80 million for using confidential information it obtained from Hawaiian's own bankruptcy proceedings to launch go!. Mesa is appealing the ruling. Hawaiian emerged from bankruptcy in June 2005.

Aloha said it will ask a bankruptcy court to approve a financing arrangement with General Motors Acceptance Corp. that will allow the privately held airline to continue operating.

"Through this filing, we hope to achieve a successful outcome that will protect the jobs of 3,500 dedicated employees who have made extraordinary sacrifices for Aloha, and to continue to earn the support of our loyal customers, business partners, vendors and financial backers."

Mark Dunkerley, president and CEO of Hawaiian Airlines, said Aloha's bankruptcy filing reflects the difficult operating environment in Hawaii's airline industry.

"It is extremely challenging and marked by high operating costs, record high fuel prices and a very competitive pricing structure," Dunkerley said.
Gov. Linda Lingle said she was concerned over the future of Aloha's employees in the wake of the airline's bankruptcy filing.

"I am hopeful that this action will allow Aloha Airlines to successfully emerge from reorganization as they have done in the past," she said. "The continued, uninterrupted service of the airline is in the best interest of the employees, Hawaii residents and visitors and our state's economy."

Aloha operates a fleet of 26 Boeing 737s to serve five Hawaiian airports and six mainland U.S. destinations.

Wednesday, March 19, 2008

Travel (Okemo Mountain Resort)


It’s hard to remember that Okemo once deferred to its neighboring Vermont ski areas, which drew the big crowds as Okemo built a niche as a good mountain for families that wanted a dependable skiing and riding experience. Okemo back then was neither flashy nor flamboyant. Year by year, Okemo kept increasing its loyal fan base, and every year the prescient ownership of Tim and Diane Mueller kept expanding and putting more money into trails, snow-making and on-mountain lodging improvements. Then, about a decade ago, the ski industry awoke to the realization that Okemo, the ski area that winter travelers used to pass on the way to other mountains, was more popular than almost any other resort in Vermont.

Okemo’s success is deserved and its formula is simple: vast snow-making resources keep conditions reliable even in snow-challenged winters, it’s still a good place for families, it caters to snowboarders and free skiers with a multitude of terrain-park choices and half-pipes, and perhaps most important, it has plenty of ski in/ski out accommodations.

Now, if you visit, you will experience more than just a good business plan. With two base areas and more than 100 trails, there’s plenty of room to lose the crowds and get lost in some glades. There are many long, enjoyable cruisers and plenty for the beginning skier or rider. There is not a wealth of truly extreme terrain, but there are challenging runs, especially below the Jackson Gore peak ( map), which opened in 2002. Jackson Gore has helped remake Okemo, with a condo hotel and residences, rental shop, restaurants, fitness center and ice-skating rink — all a short walk from a high-speed lift.

The town of Ludlow just below the resort was somewhat like Okemo — once slumbering and now rejuvenated. It is not as quaint or entertaining as some New England crossroads, but it has the services, restaurants and bars most needed by weekenders. For those taking a day off from the slopes, the outlet center of Manchester Center is just 30 miles away.

STATS
Summit 3,344 feet, with a base elevation of 1,144 feet
Vertical Drop 2,200 feet
Terrain 624 acres
Trails 117 trails
Lifts 19: 9 quads, 3 triple chairs and 7 surface lifts
Price The adult lift ticket peak rate is $74
Rentals $35 for ski or snowboard package for a full day; helmets are optional at $9.
Average Season Dates Early November to late April

Opinion ( Bringing Green Mainstream)

Pull up to the house on Cypress Knee Court, a cul-de-sac in one of Raleigh (N.C.)'s dozens of subdivisions, and it's hard to see anything noteworthy about the red-brick farmhouse-style McMansion. Spacious -- the house has five bedrooms -- with a wide front porch and ample concrete driveway, it blends easily with its neighbors, just one more comfortable upper-middle-class home in a town full of the same.

Incognito is just how the house, and its financial backers, Raleigh investment firm Cherokee Investment Partners, like it. But the house, which Cherokee dubbed the "Mainstream GreenHome," requires 96% less energy to heat hot water than a comparable dwelling -- and is predicted to save 80,000 gallons of water per year through smart conservation methods. It was built under the National Association of Home Builders' Model Green Home Building Guidelines and just last month won a Gold Award in the NAHB Research Center's 2008 EnergyValue Housing awards. It also got one of the best scores ever in the Environmental Protection Agency/Energy Dept.'s Energy Star home efficiency rating system. In short, Cherokee claims it's one of the most environmentally friendly homes in the country -- and yet it's maybe the only one that looks 100% typical. Boring even. No grass grows on the roof. Good luck spotting a solar panel. All of this is intentional -- the point of building the house was to show just how normal an environmentally sensitive home can look.

From Cleaning Up to Building Clean

The house isn't so typical for Cherokee and its CEO, Thomas Darden. In 1993, Darden and a partner launched a predecessor firm that invested in environmentally impaired assets remediating contaminated industrial sites -- which then made money from developing that land into a mix of commercial and residential space. Cherokee raised its fourth private equity fund in 2006, pulling in $1.6 billion from investors such as public pension funds that like the firm's strong track record of returns. Typically, Cherokee invests on a much grander scale than a single family home in the North Carolina capitol. The firm has played a major role, for example, in rehabilitating a large swath of the New Jersey Meadowlands. It rarely looks at investments under $100 million.

But a couple of years ago, Darden says, he became convinced that cleaning up the land just wasn't enough. More of the environmental impact over the long term would come from what was built on that land than anything he could do to improve the quality of the soil itself. Back then, few builders wanted to touch the term "green."To them, it seemed like a fringe market.

Cherokee set out to show that green could mean profits as well as sound environmental practices. The house "is very different from what we've done historically," says Darden. "We focused on remediation and land planning. That may be responsible for 20% of Cherokee's carbon footprint. The rest is the buildings being built."

Every Green Amenity

Although the GreenHome isn't ostentatiously eco-friendly -- and some might argue that its mere size precludes it from any claim to sustainability -- a trained eye wouldn't have too much trouble finding many of the tricks that allow the house to rack up energy and water savings. Its newly planted garden is full of native and drought-resistant species, perfect for this recently rain-free region. Inside the house, the attic and crawl spaces are sealed rather than vented, a big help with the heating bill and air quality. A passive solar thermal hot water system sits beneath solar panels on the back side of the home's roof; the panels themselves are thin enough to be a dead ringer for standard roof tiles. Radiant flooring keeps the cork kitchen floor toasty, and a glass-doored, half-sized refrigerator in the median accommodates the kids' habit of standing with the door open to contemplate the best snack. Using the grill atop the stove saves on washing pots and pans, and the IceStone countertops glint with recycled glass and other materials.

Sensing that few potential home buyers walk into a house to check out its attic insulation, the GreenHome's builders instead focused on the things they thought a buyer would care about. The floors throughout the main hall, living room, and dining room are made of richly colored reclaimed hardwood flooring. A North Carolina company called Cape Fear Riverwood makes the floors from logs pulled up from the bottom of the Cape Fear River, the watery graveyard of decades past when the river was lined with mill towns. In the living room, pocket doors, molding, and elaborate built-in shelving took great effort to develop to sustainable standards, but seemed mandatory to compete in a market where they are standard to new construction. GreenHome reused discarded glass and wood, and employed materials, including finishes, with low levels of "off gassing." That means the air quality is better from the moment of installation and over the life of the home because there are far fewer VOCs (volatile organic compounds). A closet on the first floor is made from "responsible" hardwood plywood, built especially for the house by a company called Closets by Design, which has since decided to launch it as a whole new business line.

Naturally, all of this costs money. Cherokee has a team of students at the University of North Carolina's business school study the payoff. So far, the residents of the house, one of Darden's staffers, his wife, and their four children, are using 71% less electricity than families in comparable homes, and spending far less on heating and cooling. Those 80,000 gallons of water per year will be saved through conservation methods including using recycled rainwater for flushing toilets and washing machines. When the family doesn't need all the electricity they're making in the house, they can sell the excess to the regional grid.

A Growing Sector

For now, the GreenHome remains at the cutting edge. But forecasts predict that green building in the residential sector will grow from a $7.4 billion business in 2005 to a $38 billion one by 2010. Green home projects in other states have sold for a nice premium -- as much as 25% above the local market, while the average construction cost increase of using green materials was just 4%. But, Cherokee chief Darden isn't banking on builders replicating the GreenHome en masse. He thinks corporations and multifamily landlords are more likely to embrace green technologies first since they can more easily focus on the payback in energy savings over the long term. The typical homeowner is more caught up in the monthly mortgage payment than a return that might take 5 to 10 years to materialize.

With the GreenHome, then, Cherokee is "trying to advance the state of the art and stay closely connected to what technologies are available," says Darden. He also aims "to maintain our knowledge about green building issues so we can be articulate" when pushing builders at other sites to use green technologies.

Fed delivers 3/4 point cut

The Federal Reserve slashed U.S. interest rates on Tuesday, boosting Wall Street, which was already higher on stronger-than-expected investment bank earnings.

Tuesday's three-quarters of a percentage point rate cut was less than the full percentage point many in the market had expected, but the Fed left the door open to an additional reduction. However, it noted its future action would take inflation concerns into consideration.

"A lot of people were hoping for a full percentage point, so a lot of people are probably disappointed," said Robert MacIntosh, chief economist at Eaton Vance Management, in Boston. "I don't think they should be. Inflation is an issue."

Global stock markets were up early in the day in anticipation of the Fed's move and on stronger-than-expected earnings news from Goldman Sachs Group Inc (GS.N) and Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc (LEH.N). By the end of U.S. trading, the Dow Jones industrial averageNasdaq and S&P 500 indices rose more than 4 percent. (.DJI) jumped 420 points, or 3.5 percent, while the

The dollar soared to its largest single-day gain against the yen in nine years and rallied against the euro as traders responded to the less-than-expected rate cut. But U.S. Treasuries fell as investors poured into stocks.

The Fed's action, taken on an 8-2 vote of its policy committee, was part of an intense effort by the central bank to avert a deep recession and financial market meltdown. The move took benchmark overnight rates down to 2.25 percent, the lowest since February 2005.

"The Fed's action is yet another forceful move in its attempts to alleviate the liquidity crunch and to shore up a rapidly weakening economy," said Arun Raha, a senior economist with Swiss Re, in New York.

"It clearly does not believe that the action it took last week to expand its securities lending program, or its emergency measures over the weekend to increase market liquidity, are enough. The economy is in, or close to, a recession, but increasing oil prices have kept inflationary pressures from abating, complicating the Fed's task."

MARKET, ECONOMIC STRESS

The central bank has now cut rates by an aggressive 3 percentage points since mid-September, including 2 points since the start of the year. In addition, it has said in recent days it would provide around $400 billion worth of liquidity to thaw frozen credit markets.

"Financial markets remain under considerable stress, and the tightening of credit conditions and the deepening of the housing contraction are likely to weigh on economic growth over the next few quarters," the central bank said.

"There's been tremendous panic, people throwing the baby out with the bath water, preparing for a Category 5 hurricane, and that presents a buying opportunity," said Chip Hanlon, president of Delta Global Advisors Inc in Huntington Beach, California.

Goldman Sachs, which has largely avoided the mortgage-related losses that have plagued much of Wall Street, said first-quarter earnings fell by half as it recorded steep losses on corporate loans and other assets. Yet the results at the largest U.S. investment bank exceeded expectations.

Lehman Brothers, whose shares have been pummeled in recent days on concern it is the most vulnerable to troubled mortgages and leveraged loans next to Bear Stearns (BSC.N), suffered a sharp fall in bond trading revenue but benefited from rising merger advisory revenue.

RISKS REMAIN, READY TO ACT

In a statement outlining its rate move, the Fed said downside risks to economic growth remained even in the wake of the rate cut, suggesting an openness to lowering borrowing costs further if needed.

However, in the first double-dissent since September 2002, two officials -- Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank President Charles Plosser and Dallas Fed chief Richard Fisher -- voted against the decision. They preferred less-aggressive action out of a concern sharp rate cuts could further fuel inflation.

Still, the Fed said it expected inflation to ease, partly because unemployment looked set to rise.

"The Fed has shown that they are focused on getting the economy back on its feet first and foremost, and they will worry about inflation later," said K. Daniel Libby, senior portfolio manager at Sands Brothers Select Access Fund in Greenwich, Connecticut.

The rate action came two days after the central bank announced up to $30 billion in financing to facilitate the sale of cash-strapped investment bank Bear Stearns, an unusual intervention bank officials said was necessary to prevent cascading defaults in the financial system.

Its backing for JPMorgan Chase and Cos (JPM.N) agreement to buy Bears Stearns was one of a number of emergency steps the Fed announced on Sunday.

It also said it would extend loans to a wider array of Wall Street firms, not just commercial banks, for the first time since the Great Depression.

In addition, the Fed lowered the interest rate on "discount window" lending by a quarter-point on Sunday. On Tuesday, in concert with its decision to cut its target for overnight interbank lending by three-quarters of a point, it lowered the discount rate again by a matching amount, to 2.5 percent.

"The Fed is not only providing low-cost oxygen to the markets at a critical point in the business and credit cycle, it has also increased the flow of this oxygen quite significantly," said Brian Bethune, an economist for Global Insight in Lexington, Massachusetts.

Tuesday, March 18, 2008

Blu-ray Trumps HD DVD: The Aftermath

Want a refund from Toshiba now that it's pulled the plug on its own format? Good luck. Also: HD DVD prices plummet, Universal and Amazon go Blu-ray, and more.

Toshiba nixes refunds: So, HD DVD early adopters - think you deserve a refund now that Toshiba has killed the format? Think again. Valleywag reports that the company (and big-time HD DVD backer) won't be accepting refund requests (although it will continue to support existing HD DVD players). Here's the quote: "There is nothing wrong with the products so we aren't accepting returns from customers ... [Customers] understood that there were two competing formats and understood that one of them would probably prevail ..." Good point, actually. In my case, I bought the Xbox 360 HD DVD drive knowing full well that I was taking a gamble. I lost. End of story.

Universal goes Blu-ray: Not a shock, but Universal went ahead and made it official: The studio (the only one to exclusively support HD DVD from the beginning) announced that it will start churning out Blu-ray versions of its new releases and catalog titles. No word on how long it will continue to press HD DVD discs. The move leaves Paramount and its subsidiary, Dreamworks, as the final HD DVD-only studios. Neither movie house has made any official announcements, but expect that to change shortly. Update: Paramount just got official about going Blu-ray.

Onkyo drops HD DVD: Confirming pretty much a foregone conclusion, Engadget HD reports that Onkyo, one of the few manufacturers besides Toshiba to make HD DVD players, has followed suit and dropped the format.

LG stays with HD DVD: Or at least with dual-format Blu-ray/HD DVD decks, according to High-Def Digest. The manufacturer, which was the first to release a Blu-ray/HD DVD combo player, said that "at this present moment in time, it is necessary to provide a player which supports both formats and therefore create simplicity and convenience for the existing HD DVD consumer." Very true, although it's not clear whether LG will produce more combo players, or will simply continue to support its existing players (its latest, the BH200, arrived in stores late last year).

Amazon hearts Blu-ray: The giant online retailer just went the way of Wal-Mart, Best Buy, and Netflix, announcing that it will now "more prominently promote Blu-ray hardware and software products on its Web site." Amazon will continue to sell HD DVD products, however. Indeed, I'm waiting for a mega HD DVD fire sale in the wake of the 50 percent discount offer

HD DVD prices plummet: Sharp-eyed readers at Engadget HD found Toshiba's HD-A3 HD DVD player on sale at Circuit City for $99, including 7 free movies. Of course, it's just the beginning of sharp price cuts across the board for HD DVD. Taking a quick look at eBay, I found HD DVD players going for well under $100, with the Xbox 360 HD DVD add-on selling for about $50.
that began last week.

Security tips for Net-connected travelers

It's never been easier to stay connected while you're traveling—just make sure you're not leaving yourself wide open to snoopers in the process. Check out these tips for staying connected and secure at the same time.Internet cafés: Always a welcome haven for weary travelers looking for news from home and messages from friends and family, your garden-variety Internet café is also a playground for hackers looking to grab your info. Unlike networks at home or at work, Net cafés networks (be they in the U.S. or abroad) are pretty much wide open, meaning that it’s a cinch for anyone to follow your every click and keystroke—and that includes any usernames, passwords, or messages you send.
  • Sign in securely: Want to log in to your Web mail? Don't do it unless you can do so securely. Most major Web mail services (such as Yahoo! Mail or Gmail) give you the option to send your username and password over a secure Web page. Check the address bar in the browser you're using; if you see a padlock icon or "https://" in the URL, you're good. If you only see "http://," however, any login info you send will go "in the clear," meaning that network sniffers will be able to snag your username and password with ease.
  • Uncheck the "keep me signed in" option: Most portals and Web mail clients will remember your login info so you don't have to sign in every time—and that's especially convenient for snoopers looking to access your accounts. Clear out the "keep me signed in" checkbox when you first log in, and make sure you're fully signed out when you're done surfing.
  • Pretend it's a postcard: Even if you've logged in securely, many Web mail services still send e-mail messages over unsecured Web pages. Keep that in mind when you're composing your missives—don't send credit card numbers, social security info, passport numbers, or anything else you consider sensitive. After all, you wouldn't write your credit card number on the back of a postcard, right?
  • Clear browser histories and caches: If possible, erase your tracks when you're down browsing. Look under the "Internet Options" drop-down menu (not all Net cafés let you do this, unfortunately), and delete the browser's history and caches files. This won't permanently erase the Web files you downloaded, mind you, but it'll make it tougher for the next user to see where you've been browsing.
  • Keep an eye out: Here's a simple but effective method some hackers use to break into your accounts: simply looking over your shoulder as your enter your username and password. Take a quick look and see if anyone's lurking behind you before you log in.

Wi-Fi hotspots: Wireless access points make to log on if you're traveling with your laptop, but if anything, public wireless access points can be even more insecure than Internet cafés. That's because snoopers can easily—and wirelessly—sniff unsecured Wi-Fi traffic, looking for passwords and personal info. You might even log onto an "evil twin": a benign-looking hotspot that's actually run by a hacker.
  • Follow the Net café rules: Most of the tips I've listed for Internet cafés apply to open Wi-Fi hotspots as well. You don't have to worry about completely logging out your Web mail (unless someone steals your laptop, that is), but treat e-mail messages and info sent over unsecured Web pages as if they can be read by anyone.
  • Careful with IM: It may be tempting to fire up your IM client and start chatting away, but again, keep in mind that most IM apps send messages without encryption.
  • Disable sharing preferences: Have file sharing enabled on your laptop? If so, you're leaving your system open to attack every time you log into an unsecured hotspot. Luckily, Windows XP and Vista will prompt you for security settings whenever you access a new network; make sure to lock down your laptop by picking the most secure Internet "zone." Mac users: select System Preferences, Sharing, and turn file sharing off.

Cell phones: Luckily, the digital networks used by today's cell phones are considerably more secure than, say, an open Wi-Fi hotspot (although I'd think twice about sending my social security number via SMS). That said, here's a few tips to consider when dialing while you're abroad.
  • Password-protect your phone: Here's the problem with losing your phone while you're on the road: not only are you out a handset, there's also a good chance that whoever found your phone will start making calls, snooping around your old messages, and combing through your contacts. Your phone's password lock isn't exactly NSA-approved, but at least it'll stop opportunists from snooping around and/or running up your bill. Also, if you do lose your phone, contact your carrier immedialy to suspend your wireless service.
  • Beware roaming charges: Don't make calls while you're abroad without first checking with your carrier about international roaming plans—and this applies for both voice and data calls. (Just ask the travelers who checked their e-mail every hour and came home to massive phone bills.) More of a consumer tip than security advice, I know, but still worth mentioning.
Have any security tips for travelers that you'd like to share? Fire away.

MacBook Air stumps TSA agents, owner misses flight

The suspiciously thin, port-free laptop sends airport security into a tizzy, until cooler heads prevail. Maybe it's time for some tech briefings at the TSA, no?On his blog, programmer Michael Nygard (by way of the Unofficial Apple Weblog) writes that during a recent trip through the airport, his solid-state MacBook Air stopped TSA agents—puzzled by its lack of rear-facing ports or a standard hard drive—in their tracks.

Nygard said the agents put him and his suspicious "device" in a holding cubicle as security staffers huddled nearby, looking at X-ray printouts of the sinister-looking Air and scratching their heads.

A younger TSA agent—who, apparently, was aware of Apple's newest laptop—tried explaining to the group that the Air uses solid-state memory in place of a traditional hard drive. The senior staffer, however, was still reluctant to let it go: "New products on the market? They haven't been TSA approved. Probably shouldn't be permitted," Nygard writes.

Finally, after booting up the Air and running a program, the agents let Nygard go, he said—but only after he'd missed his flight.

I've been hearing stories like these all too often, which leads to the question: how exactly are TSA agents being trained, anyway? How about, I dunno, some regular briefings on the latest gadgets that might be making their way through security checkpoints? And while TSA agents are wasting time fussing with laptops, undercover investigators with bomb parts in their bags have been sailing though security checkpoints.

Anyone else out there get stopped by airport security because of a "suspicious" gadget in their luggage? Feel free to vent right here.

Related:
How a MacBook Air baffled airport security [TUAW]

Sunday, March 16, 2008

Royal Orchid Sheraton Hotel & Towers

2 Charoen Krung Road Soi 30 (Captain Bush Lane)Siphya, BangrakBangkok 10500 TH

Experience Bangkok's best riverfront address on the Chao Phraya at the Royal Orchid Sheraton Hotel & Towers. An irresistible blend of warm Thai hospitality and professional service will immediately make you feel welcome. Add to that a stunning setting on the legendary "River of Kings," and your stay is sure to be memorable. Enjoy spectacular panoramic views of the river from all 734 of our spacious guest rooms and suites. After a busy day, settle down and experience the celebrated "ahhhhh

Area of Attraction
Local Attractions* River City Shopping Centre - 3 ft/1 m * Robinson's Department Store - 0.6 mi/1.0 km * Yaowarat-China Town - 0.6 mi/1.0 km * Suan Lum Night Bazaar - 1.2 mi/2.0 km * Pasteur Institute (Snake Farm ) - 1.2 mi/2.0 km * Chinatown - 1.2 mi/2.0 km * Patpong - 1.2 mi/2.0 km * Temple of the Dawn (Wat Arun) - 1.2 mi/2.0 km * Lumpini Stadium (Thai Boxing) - 1.2 mi/2.0 km * Silom Road - 1.2 mi/2.0 km * Siam Square Department Store - 1.9 mi/3.0 km * Grand Palace and Temple of the Emerald Buddha - 1.9 mi/3.0 km * Jim Thompson's Museum - 1.9 mi/3.0 km * Erwan Shrine - Four Faces Buddha - 1.9 mi/3.0 km * Mah Boon Krong Shopping Center - 3.1 mi/5.0 km * Central Department Store - 3.1 mi/5.0 km * Pantip Plaza - 3.1 mi/5.0 km * Queen Sirikit National Convention Center - 3.1 mi/5.0 km * Floating Market - Wat Sai & Damnoen Sadak - 4.3 mi/7.0 km * Thai National Museum - 4.3 mi/7.0 km * Wat Po - Reclining Buddha - 6.2 mi/10.0 km * Impact Muang Thong Thani Convention and Exhibition Centre - 6.2 mi/10.0 km * BITEC - Bangkok International Trade and Exhibition Centre - 6.2 mi/10.0 km * Weekend Market at Chatuchak Park - 12.4 mi/20.0 km * Rose Garden - 18.6 mi/30.0 km * Ancient City - 21.8 mi/35.0 km * Damnoen Saduak Floating Market - 55.9 mi/90.0 km

Federal Reserve Expected to Cut Interest Rates Tuesday, but by How Much?

Desperate to aid an economy in crisis, the Federal Reserve is ready to deliver yet another big interest rate cut.
How big? One-half of a percentage point, some economists say. Investors and others hope for even more, a three-quarters cut or perhaps a full point, given the turmoil on Wall Street. It will be a close call, Fed watchers say.

The speculation ends Tuesday afternoon after Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and central bank policymakers have met.
Whatever the decision, for a growing number of analysts, one more rate reduction will not be the lifeline that pulls the country back from the brink of the first recession since 2001.
Experts in this camp believe the economy is shrinking now because of the fallout from the housing and credit debacles. Businesses are shedding jobs, Wall Street is convulsing, energy prices are skyrocketing and people are reluctant to spend. Yet these economists say lower interest rates should help cushion the blows of a recession.
"Many consumers, businesses and investors are simply running scared right now," economic consultant Carl Tannenbaum said.
The rate-cutting began in September with the goal of shoring up the economy and reviving spending. The Fed's key rate has fallen from 5.25 percent to 3 percent. The pace picked up measurably in January when, during an eight-day period, the Fed slashed the rate by 1.25 percentage points. It was the biggest one-month reduction in a quarter-century.
In response, commercial banks have lowered prime lending rates by corresponding amounts. The prime rate, now at a nearly three-year low of 6 percent, applies to certain credit cards, home equity lines of credit and other loans. A cut ordered by the Fed on Tuesday would further drop the prime rate.
Even with the Fed's aggressive moves, economic and financial conditions keep deteriorating.
The Fed in recent days has taken extraordinary steps to help banks and Wall Street investment firms survive the stresses of the credit crisis. Financial institutions have racked up multibillion-dollar losses when mortgage-backed investments soured with the collapse of the housing market.
On Friday, the Fed used a Depression-era procedure to aid troubled Bear Stearns Cos. The investment bank, which faced a possible collapse, received a rescue package from the Fed and JPMorgan Chase & Co. Bear Stearns, which had made a fortune in mortgage-backed securities, has taken $2.75 billion in write-downs since last year.
Consultations about the situation continued through the weekend among representatives from the Fed, Treasury Department, financial institutions and others. President Bush planned to meet on Monday with his advisory panel on financial markets, whose members include Bernanke and Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson. The panel on Thursday recommended stricter regulation of mortgage lenders as part of a broad effort to prevent a repeat of a credit crisis threatening to drive the country into recession.
The Fed this past week also said it would pour as much as $200 billion into big Wall Street banks and investment houses and allow them to put up risky home-loan packages as collateral. This maneuver was intended to bring sorely needed relief in the market for mortgage securities. The Fed also has offered as much as $200 billion in short-term loans to banks and large financial institutions.
Some economists believe these actions minimize the need for an interest rate cut of 0.75 percent, or more, on Tuesday.
"I saw it as a bit of a substitute for the super-sized rate cut that the financial markets are expecting," said Stuart Hoffman, chief economist at PNC Financial Services Group. Hoffman is predicting a half-point cut.
Battling an ailing economy is the Fed's No. 1 focus now. Yet galloping prices for oil and gasoline can complicate the job.
High energy prices are a double-edged sword. They threaten to restrain economic growth because people have less money to spend elsewhere and they can aggravate inflation by forcing companies to boost prices.
Crude oil prices top $110 a barrel. Gasoline surged to a record national average of $3.28 a gallon. At a few stations in California and Hawaii, the pump price has hit $4 a gallon.
At a congressional appearance in late February, Bernanke was asked how the economy's woes stack up against what the country faced in 2001. "I think there are some similarities," he said. "But, I guess as a Russian novelist once said, unhappy families are all unhappy in their own way, and every period of financial and economic stress has unique characteristics."
The Fed's rate cuts have added to the downward pressure on the value of the dollar, which recently plunged to a record low against the euro and has fallen sharply against the Japanese yen. The drooping dollar is stoking fears that inflation might take off. The weaker dollar could raise the cost of imported goods entering the U.S. and lead American companies to raise prices as foreign-made products become more expensive.
To Hoffman, that is a case for going with the half-point rate reduction. Other analysts believe the situation is so dire that the Fed must cut deeper.
Brian Bethune and Nigel Gault, economists at Global Insight, are among those predicting a three-quarter point reduction. Given the turmoil on Wall Street, there even is a chance of a 1 percentage point cut, they said.
Dangerous cracks, meanwhile, are deepening in the job market.
Employers did away with 63,000 jobs in February, the most in five years. It was the second month in a row in which nervous employers got rid of jobs. With the economy faltering, economists predicted the unemployment rate -- now at 4.8 percent -- would climb to 5.5 percent by year's end.
Even after Tuesday's expected rate cut, economists predict the Fed's key rate will head even lower, probably to 2 percent or even lower by the spring or early summer.
The rate reductions and the government's economic aid plan of tax rebates and breaks should help economic growth in the second half of this year, analysts said.
"It we can make it through the first part of this year and then recover, that would be a remarkable achievement," Tannenbaum said.

Friday, March 14, 2008

Vegas man paints car like police cruiser

Jessie Vigil's black-and-white car sports a red-and-blue emergency bar across the top and the word "police" painted on the doors. Vigil, however, isn't a cop. Law enforcement agencies say what he's done with his car isn't illegal as long as he doesn't act like a police officer.

He started decorating his 2007 Ford Mustang last summer to look like the police cruiser in the "Transformers" movie because his 7-year-old son, Thomas, was fond of the film.

"My intent was to re-create the movie car," said Vigil, a 35-year-old disabled veteran from the war in Iraq. "When I came back from Iraq, I tried to spoil him. I wasn't the best dad before."

He said he called the district attorney's office beforehand and spoke to Chief Deputy District Attorney Joe Ulibarri, who tried to discourage his decorating scheme but couldn't find anything in the law that would stop Vigil as long as he didn't impersonate an officer.

Ulibarri said a state law prevents people from mimicking state police cars, which are painted black and white. But he also said the state police sell their old cars to private citizens without changing the colors.

"Are we violating our own law by not repainting them?" he asked.

He called the state law vague, and noted that normal state police cars aren't Mustangs.

"I don't think this guy has any intent to mimic a state police officer," Ulibarri said. "I'm not hearing that he is causing a problem and arresting people."

A close look shows Vigil's car isn't a police cruiser. Instead of the familiar slogan "To protect and serve," it carries a motto: "To punish and enslave" on the side. Instead of telling people to dial 911 for emergencies, the Mustang advises them to "dial 411 for theater information."

He originally marked his car, "Transformers police" but later changed it to just "police." He also added what appears to be a bar of emergency lights, but said they're not actual lights.

Vigil acknowledged people have mixed feelings about his car.

State police Capt. Craig Martin said the agency is "concerned for the safety of people who think he is an officer and think they may get help from him.

"People around town know who he is, but not those people on the interstate.

Thursday, March 13, 2008

Paying at the Pump, in a Big Way

Ricardo Caraballo was having a familiar American experience at the filling station the other day, groaning as the pump clicked up, up, up. By the time he finished it read $505,

Peter Wynn Thompson for The New York Times

Tony Jarachovic, waiting for his truck to be unloaded in Aurora, Ill. “I have no expenses left to cut,” he said.

A few years ago, “$500 would have kept me rolling for two weeks,” he said. “Now, I’ll be lucky to make it three days.”

Mr. Caraballo is a trucker, and instead of gasoline he was buying 143 gallons of diesel. While the price of gasoline may be on the verge of setting another record, diesel is already there.

According to AAA, the motor club, the average nationwide diesel price has set records on 18 of the past 19 days, including Monday, when it hit $3.83 a gallon.

In the nation’s tool and die plants, in the driver’s seats of farm tractors and in the cabs of the long-haul semis that ply America’s highways, people are feeling the pain.

“It’s killing us,” said Chad Beachler, co-owner of Beachler Trucking, which operates nine trucks in Loudonville, Ohio. “Every day, I come in here and wonder if I have enough money to buy fuel.”

Both diesel and gasoline prices had lagged behind the big increase in the price of oil, as slack wintertime demand helped to suppress increases at the pump. But now both fuels are rising rapidly. Gasoline was selling for a nationwide average of nearly $3.23 a gallon on Monday, a half-penny shy of the record set last May. Oil closed up sharply on Monday to hit a record, $107.90 a barrel, in trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Four states — New York, California, Pennsylvania and Vermont — reported average diesel prices above $4 a gallon on Monday. “That really is unprecedented,” said Tom Kloza, publisher and chief oil analyst at the Oil Price Information Service, which compiles data for AAA.

Stunned by the high prices, businesses are trying to cut fuel consumption any way they can. Farmers are buying more fuel-efficient equipment. Truckers are putting off maintenance and packing lunches. Transport companies of all types are cutting what little fat remains in an industry that subsists on lean margins even when fuel is cheap.

“In this industry, if you’re making 4 percent profits, you’re held in high esteem,” said Jim O’Neal, chairman of the Truckload Carriers Association. “Now we’re looking at the dreaded stagflation: a soft economy and increasing prices on everything, especially fuel.”

Some causes of the run-up are seasonal, said Ron Planting, an economist at the American Petroleum Institute. For instance, home heating oil and diesel are close cousins, and when heating-oil demand goes up in the winter, the prices of both fuels often rise.

But other reasons are relatively new. The rising popularity of diesel vehicles in Europe increases demand for the fuel and decreases demand for gasoline, allowing European refiners to export their surplus to the United States, which helps stabilize gasoline prices here, Mr. Planting said. Diesel use is on the rise in fast-growing countries like India and China, Mr. Kloza said. And even in the United States, demand for diesel and heating oil grew 1.5 percent in 2007, compared with 0.4 percent for gasoline, Mr. Planting said.

Americans burned about 142 billion gallons of gasoline and about 65 billion gallons of diesel and heating oil in 2007, according to data from the Energy Information Administration. Diesel is mostly burned by businesses to power machinery or haul freight, Mr. Planting said. Since few of the functions dependent on diesel are discretionary, companies must pay the higher prices to remain in business.

“In the U.S., gasoline is having its little run,” Mr. Kloza said. “But diesel is much more of a global market. All the signs say that the world’s appetite for diesel is only going up.”

Rising fuel costs come at a difficult time for America’s transport companies, already hit by slumps in new home construction and consumer spending. Truck tonnage fell 1.5 percent in 2007, to just under 11 billion tons, said Bob Costello, chief economist of the American Trucking Association. Rising diesel costs will almost certainly lead to higher consumer prices and more bankruptcies, he said.

“We’re already seeing more trucking companies fail, and it’s only going to get worse,” Mr. Costello said.

When Tony Jarachovic bought his white Kenworth semi in 1998, diesel cost 88 cents a gallon. Today the truck’s odometer reads 1.1 million miles. It needs new front tires, which together cost $900, and a major overhaul, which will cost $8,500.

Spending $1,500 a week on fuel has depleted his maintenance budget, however. Now he avoids driving from his home base in Lodi, Ohio, into Pennsylvania because the hills strain his motor. Mr. Jarachovic used to buy Krispy Kreme doughnuts at truck stops, and treat his family to dinner at Applebee’s every Sunday. Now his wife cooks extra spaghetti so he can eat leftovers on the road.

“I have no expenses left to cut,” Mr. Jarachovic said.

Trucking companies are looking for efficiencies, as well. O & S Trucking of Springfield, Mo., recently installed electronic devices in each of its 350 trucks to kill the engines automatically after they idle for two minutes, said Jim Frieze, the equipment director. And all the company’s trucks have devices that limit roadway speeds; Mr. Frieze has dialed those down from 70 miles an hour to 65 to conserve fuel. He audits every truck’s computer every week, searching for wasteful habits.

“If a driver’s gear shifts take him over 1,800 r.p.m., he’s just blowing fuel out the stack,” Mr. Frieze said. “I take him aside and counsel him to shift faster.”

Long-haul truckers often sleep in their cabs at night, running their engines for heat or air-conditioning and burning a gallon of diesel every hour, said David Owen, president of the National Association of Small Trucking Companies. Many businesses are installing auxiliary power units, known in the industry as A.P.U.’s, in their trucks, which do the same work for a quarter of the fuel.

But it takes money to save money. The units cost $6,000 to $9,000, Mr. Owen said.

“We might have to lay off some drivers,” said Louise Harbert, office manager at Harvest Transport in Vancouver, Wash. “There’s no way we can afford A.P.U.’s right now.”

Wal-Mart is working with truck manufacturers to create hybrid diesel-electric truck engines and improve the aerodynamics of its trucks, according to a company statement. United Parcel Service has a fleet of 1,400 alternative-fuel vehicles, and will add hundreds more this year, partly to reduce diesel costs, said Heather Robinson, a spokeswoman. U.P.S. is selling software that helps other companies improve the efficiency of delivery routes.

“The days of drivers running five miles off-route to get their favorite pizza are over,” Ms. Robinson said.

Other industries are cutting diesel waste as well. Every month, the Union Pacific railroad rewards engineers who have helped it save the most fuel by giving them $100 gasoline cards for their personal vehicles, according to a company statement.

The Anacostia and Pacific Company, which owns five regional railroads, recently installed devices that shut locomotives after 20 minutes of idling, and it is considering other devices to keep fuel lines from freezing in cold weather. Together, the cost would be $50,000 per engine.

“It’s not cheap,” said Bruce Lieberman, the chief financial officer. “But I am recoiling in horror at how much we spend on fuel.”

Tugboat captains sailing to Puerto Rico from Jacksonville, Fla., for Crowley Maritime Corporation once made the trip in 13 days. To save fuel, the company ordered them to slow down, adding a day to the voyage, said Rob Grune, Crowley’s vice president for Caribbean services.

Because boats move goods more efficiently than trains or trucks, barge shipping is one of the few diesel-burning industries that benefits from the high cost of fuel. Annual transportation revenue at American Commercial Lines, a tug-and-barge company in Jeffersonville, Ind., grew by $60 million in 2007, almost entirely from companies switching from trucks or rail to save money on fuel surcharges, said Michael P. Ryan, the company’s president and chief executive.

The nation’s farmers are also among those looking to save fuel. Bill Christison, 71, never had much of an erosion problem on his 2,000-acre farm near Chillicothe, Mo., so he never needed a no-till planter, which plants seeds without plowing up the soil. But plowing burns lots of fuel; last year Mr. Christison spent $17,207 on diesel. So this winter he paid $100,000 for his first no-till planter.

“I’m being as stingy with fuel as I can be,” Mr. Christison said. “But we just can’t get along without diesel.”