Thursday, November 29, 2007

Stocks Soar Along With Hope for Rate Cut

Stocks Soar, Dow Gets Biggest 2-Day Gain in 5 Years As Investors' Hopes Grow for a Rate Cut

NEW YORK (AP) -- Wall Street barreled higher Wednesday for the second day in a row, giving the Dow Jones industrial average its biggest two-day point gain in five years after a Federal Reserve official hinted that the central bank may lower interest rates again.

Investors' renewed hopes for a rate cut added to their relief that companies that made losing bets on subprime mortgages, such as Citigroup Inc. and Freddie Mac, are coming up with ways to raise cash. The market was clearly optimistic that at least some of the damage from the months-long credit crisis was finally being mitigated.

However, Wall Street has been fickle in recent months, with the Dow often rising and falling by triple digits, and no one is betting that the mortgage crisis that tripped up the nation's financial industry this year is over or that the market's huge gains so far this week will stick. Despite its spectacular advance, the Dow remains more than 6 percent below its Oct. 9 record close over 14,000, having plunged due to worries that the housing market's slump will lead to further losses for banks, and that the Fed can't keep slashing rates.

"The market's perception of whether the Fed cuts or not really changes by the day," said Michael Sheldon, chief market strategist at Spencer Clarke LLC. "We still have more data to come."

Early Wednesday, Fed Vice Chairman Donald Kohn told the Council on Foreign Relations that recent financial turbulence has reversed some of the improvement seen in markets in previous weeks, and could squeeze credit for households and businesses. He said tight financial conditions may merit "offsetting" policy from the central bank.

The possibility for lower rates seemed more compelling to investors than persistent concerns about a slowdown in economic growth. The Fed has already reduced rates at its last two meetings, and continues to inject billions of dollars into the financial system through repurchase agreements to help calm the shaky markets. The central bank will hold its final rate-setting meeting of the year Dec. 11.

Plunging oil and gold prices also lifted investors' hopes for a rate cut -- if inflation is in control, policy makers have less reason to keep rates high. The Fed's Beige Book of economic activity around the country said with the economy expanding at a reduced pace, most core prices are stable or down slightly.

The Dow soared 331.01, or 2.55 percent, to 13,289.45, adding to the blue chip index's 215 point gain on Tuesday and giving the market's best known indicator its largest two-day point gain since Oct. 11, 2002, and largest two-day percentage gain since Nov. 21, 2002.

Wednesday's jump was also the biggest one-day percentage gain for the Dow since April 2, 2003.

The broader Standard & Poor's 500 index climbed 40.79, or 2.86 percent, to 1,469.02, logging its best two-day point gain since April 19, 2001.

The Nasdaq composite index shot up 82.11, or 3.18 percent, to 2,662.91, giving the technology-dominated index its largest two-day point gain since March 4, 2002.

Government bonds slipped as stocks rallied. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note rose to 4.05 percent from 3.95 percent late Tuesday -- and ticked up to 4.05 percent in afterhours trading.

Crude oil posted its own two-day milestone Wednesday, falling $3.80 to settle at $90.62 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange after dropping $3.28 Tuesday. The $7 two-day plunge was the second-largest since the Nymex introduced a futures contract 24 years ago.

The dollar fell against the euro and pound, but rose against the yen.

"Everything we're seeing in the market is revolving about credit and encouragement that the Fed is going to bail us out again," said Alexander Paris, economist and market analyst for Chicago-based Barrington Research. "Investors are kind of ignoring the economic news like housing and durable orders that were all weaker than expected."

Indeed, signs that the Fed will reduce rates to keep cash flowing freely helped overshadow reports that in October, sales of existing homes fell for the eighth consecutive month and orders for big-ticket manufactured goods fell for the third straight month.

Wall Street has had a volatile week so far. Economic and credit market concerns sent the Dow plunging 240 points on Monday, pushing the index to the level of a 10 percent market correction.

On Tuesday, the market rebounded, finding some consolation after the investment arm of Arab city state Abu Dhabi invested $7.5 billion in Citigroup. Then, late Tuesday, government-sponsored mortgage investor Freddie Mac halved its dividend and said it would sell $6 billion of preferred stock, bolstering investors' sentiment that financial companies have some recourse.

On Wednesday, Freddie Mac rose $3.69, or 14.3 percent, to $29.42 on Wednesday, while its larger counterpart, Fannie Mae, rose $2.90, or 9.9 percent, to $32.30.

Citigroup rose $1.97, or 6.5 percent, to $32.29.

But the stock market still has quite a ways to go before breathing easy after this year's crisis in mortgages and the global financial industry's tens of billions of dollars in debt-related losses. Unless the Dow makes further gains this week, November will be the index's worst month since September 2002. And as recently as Monday, the S&P 500 index was in negative territory for the year.

Advancing issues led decliners by about 7 to 1 on the New York Stock Exchange, where consolidated volume came to 4.45 billion shares, compared with 4.17 billion shares traded Tuesday.

The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies rose 26.77, or 3.60 percent, to 770.04.

Overseas, Japan's Nikkei stock average fell 0.45 percent. Britain's FTSE 100 rose 2.70 percent, Germany's DAX index rose 2.55 percent, and France's CAC-40 rose 2.34 percent.

New York Stock Exchange: http://www.nyse.com

Nasdaq Stock Market: http://www.nasdaq.com

Wednesday, November 28, 2007

Wells Fargo Plunges Into Mortgage Muck

Wells Fargo Plunges Into the Mortgage Muck With $1.4B in Losses on Home Equity Loans

SAN FRANCISCO (AP) -- After avoiding major trouble most of the year, Wells Fargo & Co. has finally bogged down in the mortgage muck that's muddying one major bank after another.

Wells Fargo, the fifth-largest U.S. bank, waded into the mess by saying it will recognize $1.4 billion in losses in the fourth quarter on home equity loans that aren't being repaid as the real estate slump deepens in California, the Midwest and other major markets.

Until Wells Fargo's disclosure late Tuesday, the San Francisco-based bank had been largely unscathed by the turmoil that has battered a long list of other major lenders.

"Clearly, this is a disappointment because (Wells) had been seen as better managers of credit than many other big banks," said RBC Capital Markets analyst Joseph Morford. "But now they have a big blemish on them, too."

After gaining 34 cents to finish at $29.83 in Tuesday's regular session, Wells Fargo shares plunged $1.40, or 4.7 percent, in the extended trading that followed a Securities and Exchange Commission filing outlining the bank's home equity loan losses.

"Maybe people are going to be freaked out about Wells Fargo's losses, but they shouldn't be," said Punk, Ziegel & Co. analyst Richard Bove. "Wells Fargo isn't superhuman and they made some bad loans just like everyone else."

Wells Fargo still remains in far better shape than many of its peers because it sold most of the $2 trillion in home loans that it originated since 2001 and invested relatively little money in the mortgage-backed securities that are lumping other big banks with multibillion-dollar losses.

The first whiff of Wells Fargo's home equity woes surfaced last month when the bank reported it lost $153 million on the portfolio in the third quarter, up from $27 million at the same last year.

Wells Fargo's chief executive, John Stumpf, spooked investors even further two weeks ago when he described the current real estate slump as the worst since the Great Depression and reiterated earlier projections that the bank's home equity losses would continue to rise next year.

Given that so many other banks had disclosed plans to write off huge losses in the fourth quarter, Wells Fargo might have decided it was an opportune time to clean its financial house too, Morford said.

After being promoted to chief executive officer four months ago, Stumpf also may have wanted to make sure that he isn't blamed for any ill-advised loans taken on by his predecessor, Richard Kovacevich, Bove said.

Besides taking a hit on its home equity portfolio, Wells Fargo also is retroactively registering $265 million in expenses tied to its share of the costs for a $2.25 billion settlement that credit and debit card network Visa Inc. reached with American Express Co. earlier this month. Wells Fargo owns a 5 percent stake in Visa.

The legal expenses will trim Wells Fargo's previously reported earnings for the second quarter of 2006 by 2 cents per share and lop off 4 cents per share from its earnings for its most recent quarter ended in September.

Wells Fargo said most of its anticipated loan losses are concentrated in a $11.9 billion bundle of high-risk home equity loans that the bank intends to liquidate. The nettlesome loans represent about 14 percent of the bank's total home equity portfolio of $83.4 billion.

The bank said most of the delinquent loans originated from mortgage brokers or other lenders on the wholesale market and are concentrated in areas experiencing the sharpest declines in home values.

Although Wells Fargo didn't pinpoint the troubled markets in Tuesday's SEC filing, management has previously said the bank is experiencing its biggest headaches in California's Central Valley and "auto-belt" states in the Midwest.

"Given today's uniquely challenging environment, we believe that sharpening our focus on our better-performing and relationship-based home equity loans is in the best long-term interest of our company," Stumpf said in a statement.

The cautious approach is a stark change from a few years ago, when Wells Fargo and other banks sought to cash in on rapidly rising real estate prices by offering unusually low interest rates during the first few years of a mortgage while also lowering the bar to qualify for a loan.

Although Wells Fargo has maintained that it imposed higher standards than most other lenders, the bank has still been stung as eroding real estate prices left borrowers owing more money than their property was worth.

In other cases, borrowers are facing substantially higher monthly payments as the teaser rates on their mortgages expire and they can't refinance into more affordable loans. Facing a financial squeeze, some of these borrowers are trying to stay current on their primary mortgage and skipping payments on their home equity lines of credit.

As part of the mad scramble to buy real estate before the downturn, some mortgage brokers simultaneously lined up home equity loans for borrowers along with the primary loan used to buy the property.

This maneuver, known as a "piggyback," enabled cash-strapped borrowers to immediately tap into their home equity lines of credit to cover the down payment for the purchase, leaving the lenders with no little or no protection against a default as real estate prices plummeted.

It's unclear how many of Wells Fargo's home equity losses stemmed from piggyback loans.

Monday, November 26, 2007

Weekly Briefing

Economic Calendar for week 26th - 30th November 2007.

PLEASE NOTE - All times GMT

Monday Nov 26th:

UK - Tentative - Nationwide House Prices M/M.

Tuesday Nov 27th:

GE - 09:00 - Ifo Business Climate & Business Expectations Index.
US - 14:00 - National Home Price Index.
US - 15:00 - Consumer Confidence.
US - 15:00 - Richmond Fed Index.

Wednesday Nov 28th:

GE - 07:00 - Consumer Confidence.
EU - 09:00 - M3 Money Supply Y/Y.
US - 13:30 - Durable & Core Durable Goods Orders M/M.
US - 15:00 - Existing Home Sales.
US - 15:30 - Crude Oil Inventories.
US - 15:30 - Beige Book.

Thursday Nov 29th:

GE - 08:55 - Unemployment Rate.
UK - 09:30 - Mortgage Approvals.
UK - 09:30 - Net Lending to Individuals M/M.
UK - 11:00 - CBI Distributive Trades Realised.
US - 11:30 - GDP Annualised Q/Q.
US - 11:30 - GDP Annualised Deflator Q/Q.
US - 13:30 - Unemployment Claims.
US - 15:00 - New Home Sales.
UK - 11:00 - CBI Distributive Trades Realised.

Friday Nov 30th:

EU - 10:00 - CPI Q/Q.
EU - 10:00 - CPI M/M.
EU - 10:00 - Consumer Confidence.
UK - 10:30 - Consumer Confidence.
US - 13:30 - Core PCE Price Index M/M.
US - 13:30 - Personal Spending & Personal Income M/M.
US - 14:45 - Chicago PMI.
US - 15:00 - Construction Spending M/M.

EU - Europe wide
FR - France
UK - United Kingdom
US - United States
GE - Germany

The week ahead.

It's the economy, stupid. The Economy, stupid was a sign hung in Bill Clinton's campaign headquarters to keep everybody "on message" in 1992. It was originally meant as an internal motivator, but it soon became a famous centre point for Bill Clintons victory against George Bush Snr. At the time Bush was accused of neglecting the domestic economy as the US went through a recession from 1988 to 1992.

The US economy is once again centre stage for all the wrong reasons, and people are increasingly speculating about the odds of the US dipping into negative growth, in other words a recession.

Various media and financial commentators are pitching their estimates for the probability of a recession. Even former Fed chairman Alan Greenspan has put the odds as being between a third and a half. However, the emphasis so far has been on slower growth rather than negative output.

Sentiment is increasingly focused on the actions of the Federal Reserve or more accurately, the markets confidence in Fed Chairman Ben Bernake. Last week the minutes from their last meeting revealed they were reluctant to cut rates in the face of rising inflation. However, fed futures are currently pricing in a 65% chance of a cut in the December meeting. Many analysts believe that the Fed may soon have no choice but to act.

Over in the UK, MPC meeting minutes revealed that members had voted 7-2 in favour of keeping rates on hold, as expected. The chances of a rate cut in December increased on Friday, as Deputy Governor Rachel Lomax went on record as saying that the bank needed to be "very alert to the risk that the economy may be slowing too abruptly. At current interest rate levels, monetary policy may well be on the restrictive side". Despite this, a no change verdict is still the most likely option at the December meeting.

The Eurozone credit markets saw widening spreads between German Bunds and bonds from countries such as Italy and Greece. This flight to quality occurred as credit market liquidity once again froze on Thursday, with the US markets being closed for Thanksgiving.

The Euro saw dramatic movements at end the week. The EUR/ USD exchange rate came within 32 pips of 1.50, but slumped dramatically to just above 1.48 in later trading. Talk of ECB action to counter the effect of a strong Euro was behind some of the fall.

Next week is dominated by housing sales data, with UK house prices released on Monday, US existing home sales on Wednesday and New home sales on Thursday. With much of the bad news already in the market, it will be a case of how bad the news actually is that governs reactions to this data next week. Other first tier announcements include US consumer confidence GDP figures.

Before Fridays recovery, November was looking at being one of the worst months on record for the FTSE. This November in particular has been the worse since 2000 for the S&P 500, and at the time of writing was showing the fifth worse intra month decline of all Novembers on record. After such large moves, it is not uncommon for the markets spring to recoil.

The recent volatility has pushed up the premiums available with trades betting against further large movements. This presents a potential opportunity. After such large moves in November, the S&P 500 has a tendency to be positive in December, although the movements are extremely choppy. Between now and the New Year, there is the distinct possibility that markets could grind rather than crunch, making a barrier range trade seem attractive. It's the economy, stupid but the stock market may just be able to stave off the feared all out collapse until 2008.

A barrier range trade on the S&P 500 with the expiry set as the 3rd of January 08 and the barriers set as 1233 and 1628, returns 12%. This provides roughly 200 points protection either side of the current market levels. This represents the maximum range allowable by BOM for the time period. This puts the barriers well beyond the highs and lows for the year.


David Evans

Japan stocks power higher on autos, banks, high-tech

TOKYO, - Buoyed by gains on Wall Street, Japanese stocks powered higher on Monday, with the benchmark Nikkei erasing part of last week's losses on rises in auto makers, banks and high-tech shares. Nissan Motor Co (7201.T: Quote, Profile, Research) rose 5 percent and other car firms weren't far behind, gaining some strength from a slightly weaker yen. Other exporters also fared well. The rally was inspired by Wall Street after shoppers flocked to stores on "Black Friday", the first day of the U.S. holiday shopping season, with a good performance helping to boost retailers and U.S. shares overall.

But Tokyo market participants, while enjoying the bounce, said too many unknowns remained over the longer term for Monday's trade to signal the start of a major recovery.

"Black Friday was good, yes, but a lot of people were buying bargains, so it's hard to know if we can really trust the overall figures," said Nagayuki Yamagishi, a strategist at Mitsubishi UFJ Securities.

"There's still a lot of uncertainty, especially with a lot of U.S. economic indicators coming up this week, including housing data."

A strong performance in futures and technical factors that had indicated Japanese shares were oversold also helped lay the groundwork for the rise.

Other Tokyo players said short-term rises could be capped around 15,200-15,300 since there are few strong buying factors, with Monday's rise powered largely by short-covering after last week's substantial slide, which saw the Nikkei fall 1.75 percent on the week.

A slightly weaker yen also helped. By midmorning in Tokyo the dollar was hovering around 108.70 yen after last week touching 107 yen.

The Nikkei (.N225: Quote, Profile, Research) was up 1.3 percent to 15,084.11, adding 195.34 points. On Nov. 22, it hit a 16-month low of 14,669.85.

The broader TOPIX (.TOPX: Quote, Profile, Research) was up 1.7 percent at 1,461.57. On Nov. 22 it hit a two-year low of 1,417.47. Despite its gains, the Nikkei still underperformed other Asian markets. At 0230 GMT, MSCI's measure of other Asia Pacific stocks (.MIAPJ0000PLUS: Quote, Profile, Research) had risen 2.8 percent, with Tokyo likely gaining on some spillover energy from the region.

CARS, HIGH TECH, BANKS Automakers did well, with Nissan ending the morning up 5.0 percent at 1,165 yen. Honda Motor Co (7267.T: Quote, Profile, Research) gained 3.1 percent to 3,680 yen and Toyota Motor Co (7203.T: Quote, Profile, Research) rose 2.9 percent to 6,040 yen. High tech shares also climbed, which Mitsubishi UFJ's Yamagishi said was likely due to expectations of good sales over the coming months.

"They appear to have nearly cleared out their inventories, so sales are likely to do well in the near future. Also, it seems they are being bought a bit defensively," he added.

Sony Corp (6758.T: Quote, Profile, Research) was up 3.6 percent at 5,450 yen, boosted as well by a ratings upgrade by Mizuho Securities to "2" from "3."

In a note published on Thursday, Mizuho said an end to the negative factors afflicting Sony, including large losses on the PlayStation 3 game console, seems to be in sight.

"We believe conditions are in place for the company to deliver stable profits on its main strength in portable electronics equipment," it said. "We believe there is now a clear sense of undervaluation in the share price."

Canon Inc (7751.T: Quote, Profile, Research) rose 2.4 percent to 5,570 yen.

Banks also climbed, mainly on short-covering after being sold strongly last week.

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (8306.T: Quote, Profile, Research) was up 4.7 percent at 972 yen and Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group (8316.T: Quote, Profile, Research) up 4.4 percent at 849,000 yen. Mizuho Financial Group (8411.T: Quote, Profile, Research) gained 3.6 percent to 542,000 yen

Trade slowed on the Tokyo exchange's first section, with 895 million shares changing hands, compared with last week's morning average of 965 million.

Advancing stocks outnumbered decliners by a ratio of 2.5 to one.

Retailers Buoyed by Strong Holiday Start

Retailers Have a Strong Start to the Holiday Shopping Season, but Shoppers Need to Keep Buying

NEW YORK -- The nation's shoppers set aside worries about higher gas prices and a slumping housing market and proved their resilience over the Thanksgiving weekend, giving what the nation's merchants wished for -- a strong start to the holiday shopping season.

Stores and malls opened the season as early as midnight, drawing bigger-than-expected crowds Friday for discounted flat-panel TVs, digital cameras and toys such as all things related to Disney Channel's "Hannah Montana." Strong sales continued through Saturday, according to one research group that tracks total sales at retail outlets across the country.

Clearly, the biggest draw was electronics, benefiting consumer electronics chains like Best Buy Co. and discounters such as Wal-Mart Stores Inc. and Target Corp. Popular-priced department stores including J.C. Penney Co. and Kohl's Corp. drew in crowds with good deals. Toy stores like Toys "R" Us Inc. fared well too. Still, apparel sales appeared to be mixed at mall-based clothing stores, though a cold weather snap helped spur sales of outerwear and other winter-related items.

"This was a really good start. ... There seemed to be a lot of pent-up demand," said Bill Martin, co-founder of ShopperTrak RCT Corp., which tracks total sales at more than 50,000 retail outlets. ShopperTrak reported late Sunday that sales on Friday and Saturday combined rose 7.2 percent to $16.4 billion from the same two-day period a year ago.

Total sales on Friday, the day after Thanksgiving, rose to $10.3 billion, up 8.3 percent from the same day a year ago. Martin had expected increases no greater than 5 percent.

Meanwhile, Internet research firm comScore Inc. reported a 22 percent gain in online sales on the day after Thanksgiving compared with the same day a year ago and estimated online sales would exceed $700 million online Monday, the official kickoff to the online shopping season.

The signs were encouraging, but stores are now wondering whether bargain hunters will keep up the pace as they face an escalating credit crunch, depreciating home values and rising daily living expenses.

Frederick Crawford, managing director at AlixPartners, a turnaround consulting company, said that amid economic challenges, people are buying fewer gifts.

"Clearly, it was mission-based shopping," Crawford said. "People had their list, and they were very specific in what they were looking for."

Consumers were out looking for bargains.

"The bargains are better this year, a lot better," said Theresa Calib, of Houston, Texas, who was at the local Greenspoint mall Saturday. "We always know what we want to get, and we get it." She noted she took advantage of Foot Locker Inc.'s two pairs for $89 sale.

I'm trying to get everything done, and I did it," said Pat Marcantonio, of Wakefield, R.I., who returned Saturday to the Warwick Mall after braving the crowds Friday morning.

Marcantonio also shopped for herself Saturday, loading up a Bath & Body Works bag full of frosted cranberry and sweet pea lotions. Bath & Body Works was offering select gift sets at 30 percent off.

Meanwhile, in downtown Philadelphia, Barbara McGlade, of Wyndmoor, Pa., had picked up deals on fleece clothing at Modell's, with prices marked down from $29.99 to about $15.

"If I see something now, I'll pick it up," McGlade said. "You don't know if you'll see it again."

The nation's stores worked hard to lure shoppers with expanded hours, including midnight openings, and a blitz of early morning specials Friday. J.C. Penney and Kohl's opened at 4 a.m., an hour earlier than a year ago.

Many stores were also more focused on discounting products that they knew shoppers wanted. Gail Lavielle, a spokeswoman at Sears Holding Corp., which operates Kmart and Sears stores, said it zeroed in on great deals on electronics, instead of offering deep discounts on a wide range of products. Still, analysts say frustrations were high across among shoppers who couldn't get their hands on limited deals at many different stores.

Lavielle noted that the turnout Friday was better than a year ago, and customer flow was steady throughout the weekend. Both Kmart and Sears sold out a significant inventory of its flat-panel TVs. Other hot items were Global Positioning System receivers, game consoles like the hard-to-find Nintendo Wii, and digital cameras.

Toys "R" Us chairman and CEO Jerry Storch said the toy seller drew a strong turnout Friday for its 101 early morning specials. He said that he was pleased with traffic on Saturday and Sunday as well.

"This was a robust start to the holiday season," Storch said. Popular items included anything related to Disney's hot franchises "Hannah Montana" and "High School Musical," video games, consoles, an interactive parrot from Hasbro Inc., and radio-controlled helicopters and planes.

In a statement Saturday, J.C. Penney reported "strong performance across all merchandise categories," including fine jewelry, outerwear, and young men's and children's assortments.

Wally Brewster, senior vice president of marketing and communications for General Growth Properties Inc., which operates more than 220 malls in 44 states, estimated that sales rose 2.5 percent for the weekend compared with a year ago, in line with projections. Electronic items were extremely popular, but he added that the cold weather helped spur sales of fleece outerwear and other winter items.

Karen MacDonald, spokeswoman at Taubman Centers, which operates 24 malls across 11 states, estimated that business was up anywhere from mid to high single digits Friday, while sales Saturday increased by as much as the mid-single digits.

Both Macerich Co. and Simon Property Group reported strong sales at malls across the country over the weekend.

Despite a decent showing, many shoppers interviewed said they planned to curb their spending.

Earl Lee, a mechanic from Live Oak, Fla., who was shopping in Tallahassee, said that he was planning on spending less this holiday season.

"Gas prices, everything's so high," he added.

John Muller, of Clifton, N.J., who was standing outside Macy's Herald Square in Manhattan on Sunday, said he plans to spend only about $500 this year, half as much as a year ago, because of higher expenses and worries about the economy.

This year, "we are mostly buying for the kids," said Muller, who has two children, ages 3 and 7.

AP Business Writer John Porretto in Houston and Associated Press writers Brent Kallestad in Tallahassee, Fla., and Kathy Matheson in Philadelphia contributed to this report.

Economic Calender for Week Nov 25 - Nov 30 2007

Sun
Nov 25
4:45pm NZD High Impact Expected
Trade Balance
-0.69B
-0.55B
-0.54B
Mon
Nov 26
11:00am EUR Medium Impact Expected
ECB President Trichet Speaks



6:50pm JPY Low Impact Expected
CSPI y/y

1.4%
1.4%
6:50pm JPY Medium Impact Expected
BOJ Governor Fukui Speaks



Tue
Nov 27
3:15am CHF Medium Impact Expected
PPI m/m

0.3%
-0.3%
4:00am EUR Medium Impact Expected
German Ifo Business Climate Index

103.3
103.9
4:00am EUR Medium Impact Expected
German Ifo Business Expectations Index

98.1
98.6
Tentative CHF Medium Impact Expected
Consumption Indicator


1.992
9:00am USD Medium Impact Expected
National Home Price Index

-5.0%
-4.4%
10:00am USD High Impact Expected
Consumer Confidence

91.5
95.6
10:00am USD Low Impact Expected
Richmond Fed Index

-2
-5
11:15am GBP Medium Impact Expected
MPC Member Blanchflower Speaks



1:30pm USD Low Impact Expected
Chicago Fed President Evans Speaks



1:45pm GBP Low Impact Expected
MPC Member Sentance Speaks



6:50pm JPY Medium Impact Expected
Retail Sales y/y

0.6%
0.5%
6:50pm JPY Low Impact Expected
Large Retailers' Sales y/y

-1.0%
-2.0%
7:30pm AUD Medium Impact Expected
Construction Work Done q/q

1.6%
-1.9%
Wed
Nov 28
2:00am EUR Low Impact Expected
German Consumer Confidence

4.5
4.9
4:00am EUR Low Impact Expected
M3 Money Supply y/y

11.4%
11.5%
4:15am CHF Medium Impact Expected
SNB Chairman Roth Speaks



5:30am CHF Medium Impact Expected
Leading Index m/m

1.98
2.02
8:00am USD Medium Impact Expected
Fed Governor Kohn Speaks



8:30am USD Medium Impact Expected
Durable Goods Orders m/m

0.0%
-1.7%
8:30am USD High Impact Expected
Core Durable Goods Orders m/m

0.4%
0.3%
10:00am USD High Impact Expected
Existing Home Sales

5.00M
5.04M
10:30am USD Low Impact Expected
Crude Oil Inventories


-1.1M
2:00pm USD Low Impact Expected
Beige Book



4:45pm NZD Medium Impact Expected
Building Consents m/m


-8.3%
6:50pm JPY Medium Impact Expected
Industrial Production m/m (p)

1.4%
-1.4%
7:30pm AUD Medium Impact Expected
Private New Capital Expenditure q/q

2.2%
6.3%
9:00pm NZD Medium Impact Expected
Business Confidence


-12.9
Thu
Nov 29
2:00am GBP High Impact Expected
Nationwide House Prices m/m

0.1%
1.1%
3:55am EUR Low Impact Expected
German Unemployment Rate

8.7%
8.7%
4:30am GBP Low Impact Expected
Mortgage Approvals

96K
102K
4:30am GBP Low Impact Expected
Net Lending to Individuals m/m

10.0B
11.2B
4:45am GBP High Impact Expected
MPC Treasury Committee Hearings



6:00am GBP Medium Impact Expected
CBI Distributive Trades Realized


10
8:30am USD High Impact Expected
GDP Annualized q/q (r)

4.9%
3.9%
8:30am USD Low Impact Expected
GDP Deflator Annualized q/q (r)

0.8%
0.8%
8:30am USD Medium Impact Expected
Unemployment Claims

330K
330K
8:30am CAD Medium Impact Expected
Current Account

3.5B
8.4B
8:30am CAD Low Impact Expected
IPPI m/m

-0.6%
-0.9%
8:30am CAD Low Impact Expected
RMPI m/m

0.4%
-0.9%
10:00am USD High Impact Expected
New Home Sales

740K
770K
4:30pm USD Medium Impact Expected
Fed Governor Mishkin Speaks



6:15pm JPY Medium Impact Expected
Manufacturing PMI


49.5
6:30pm JPY Medium Impact Expected
Core CPI y/y

0.0%
-0.1%
6:30pm JPY Medium Impact Expected
Core Tokyo CPI y/y

0.1%
0.0%
7:00pm USD Medium Impact Expected
Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks



7:30pm AUD Low Impact Expected
Current Account

-16.3B
-16.0B
Fri
Nov 30
12:00am JPY Low Impact Expected
Housing Starts y/y

-36.7%
-44.0%
1:45am CHF Medium Impact Expected
GDP q/q

0.7%
0.7%
1:45am CHF Medium Impact Expected
CPI m/m

0.2%
0.9%
2:00am EUR Low Impact Expected
German Retail Sales m/m

-0.4%
1.6%
5:00am EUR Low Impact Expected
CPI y/y (p)

2.7%
2.6%
5:00am EUR Low Impact Expected
GDP q/q (r)

0.7%
0.7%
5:00am EUR Low Impact Expected
Consumer Confidence

-6
-6
5:30am GBP Medium Impact Expected
Consumer Confidence

-9
-8
8:30am USD Medium Impact Expected
Core PCE Price Index m/m

0.2%
0.2%
8:30am USD Medium Impact Expected
Personal Spending m/m

0.3%
0.3%
8:30am USD Low Impact Expected
Personal Income m/m

0.4%
0.4%
8:30am CAD High Impact Expected
GDP m/m

0.1%
0.2%
9:45am USD Medium Impact Expected
Chicago PMI

51.0
49.7
10:00am USD Low Impact Expected
Construction Spending m/m

-0.2%
0.3%
12:30pm USD Low Impact Expected
St. Louis Fed President Poole Speaks



1:40pm USD Medium Impact Expected
Fed Governor Kroszner Speaks