Wednesday, February 4, 2009

Aussie Moving Up, electrical current Australian Government Fiscal Stimulus

Aussie exchange rate movements on trade today (04/02) of experience in the positive territory. Aussie dollar moves against the U.S. increased after the Australian government issued a fiscal stimulus package worth 42 billion aussie equivalent to 26.5 billion U.S. dollars. This stimulus package to persuade the perpetrators that the decline in market interest rates will not be too drastic in the coming years. RBA decided yesterday to lower the interest rate of 100 bps.

At the opening of trading in the forex exchange aussie Australia today is in the level of 0.6527/31 dollars. Position aussie day experience an improvement of 2.7% compared to the position of closing the trade at the level of 0.6358/62 dollars. On trade in the U.S. stock exchange night before moving on aussie range 0.6339 - 0.6536 dollars.

Aussie movement is also quite in line with the steady increase to its stock exchange on Wall Street to its closure early trading today. Risk appetite increased after the Fed announced a loan facility will extend daruratnya for six months.

Research from analyst Vibiz Consulting Vibiz rate movements that aussie on the day this will tend to survive in its bullish trend. Aussie will remain stable even if moving the data to be released this week on retail sales showed a decline. Aussie will be in the range of movement 0.6360 - 0.6650 dollars.

Tuesday, February 3, 2009

China's economy has the potential Previously Leave Crisis

Chinese PM, Wen Jiabao, said that he saw signs of economic improvement in China in the last days in 2008 years ago. Wen optimistic at this time that even though China's economy is being slowed, but the fiscal stimulus that will be able to continuously improve the return in economic activities in the country.

Global financial crisis has caused demand for the goods China exports decreased. This situation has resulted in closing of factories in China and caused millions of people lost their jobs.

However, according to Wen in the 10 days the last 2008 years ago the condition of the country began to show improvement. Goods for export that accumulate in the port of port-start and reduced price goods industry increased. The Chinese government has pledged to provide fiscal stimulus equal to 4 trillion yuan (585 billion dollars) over two years to increase domestic demand.

Economic growth in China slowing to a position of 6.8% in the fourth quarter this year 2008. During the seven years the annual growth in China is in the average level of 9%. However, Wen said that he was optimistic the target of 8% growth in 2009 will be able to achieve this. In fact, many believe that in the first quarter this year 2009 will be a rebound in the Chinese economy.

The financial sector in China is still trusted by Wen is in good condition. Even if you see the performance of the stock exchanges in the country, to exchange at this time Shanghai is to become one of the Asian exchanges showed that the movement is quite stable compared to other stock-exchanges in Asia.

The Shanghai Stock Exchange that Ter-Being Bullish on the World This Year

Since September 2008 years ago Shanghai composite index has experienced a significant improvement. Shanghai exchange this performance is enough glory in the midst of stock-exchange conditions that Asia is quite worrying.

Shanghai Composite has stopped decreasing. This condition is quite profitable in which to exchange at this time-share exchanges in the U.S., Europe, and Japan is still decreasing. Moreover, the Shanghai exchange sideways movement that is quite stable, this is a signal of a consolidation in the exchange. Buffalo in a calendar year China, are expected this year Shanghai will be able to exchange bullish move.

SCI at this time has to move sideways in the range of slow and stable in the limit up and limit down. This condition is a signal that consolidation behavior is good. This pattern of consolidation is a good indication that the sharp movements in the bearish stock exchanges that had occurred since the beginning of 2008 have shown the potential end.

This pattern of consolidation has occurred over five months later. And is expected to continue for two or three months before the new pattern which is expected to clear the pattern is bullish. Is reasonable if the time needed for a long time for the stock exchanges menguat back after experiencing a very sharp decline, as happened in the global stock exchanges last. At the beginning of the year is expected Kerbau Shanghai stock exchange will be the most bullish on the stock-buirsa other in the world.